Mar 13, 2025

Is Trump Crashing the Market to Force a Fed Pivot?

The financial world is on edge, with market volatility sending shockwaves across traditional finance and crypto.

While many attribute this turmoil to economic cycles, some analysts, including Matthias from the CoinRock Show, believe something more calculated is at play.

He argued that Trump deliberately stokes uncertainty to pressure the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. This move could trigger a temporary market boom but lead to severe consequences.

Market Volatility

Over the past few weeks, financial markets have been in free fall. Bitcoin has struggled to hold above $80K, Ethereum has dipped below $2,000, and major tech stocks like Tesla and Nvidia have seen steep declines.

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have also taken significant hits, with investors unsure of what lies ahead.

Adding fuel to the fire, economic indicators reflect growing instability. The Baker, Bloom, and Davis Economic Uncertainty Index has reached its highest level since 2008, signaling widespread concern over policy direction.

While some argue that these downturns are a natural part of market cycles, Matthias believes Trump is engineering this chaos to force the Fed’s hand.

Markets hate uncertainty. And guess who’s controlling the fear factor? Trump, of course. He thrives on chaos because it gives him leverage.” – Matthias

He may succeed if Trump aims to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.

Trump vs. The Fed

This theory centers on a battle between Trump and the Federal Reserve. Under Chairman Jerome Powell, the Fed has held interest rates at 5.25% to combat inflation.

But Trump understands that lower rates would flood the market with liquidity, boosting stock prices and fueling economic optimism—just in time for the 2024 election cycle.

Trump has intentionally shaken market confidence through trade war threats, tariff increases, and unpredictable economic rhetoric. The result? Investors are panicking, and pressure on the Fed is increasing.

  • If the Fed cuts rates, it could spark a bull run, helping Trump’s economic narrative.
  • If the Fed resists, markets could remain volatile, damaging Biden’s re-election chances—also a win for Trump.

It’s a lose-lose situation for Powell, and Trump knows it.

Short-Term Relief, Long-Term Disaster?

A Fed rate cut could provide short-term relief, sending crypto, stocks, and real estate markets soaring. But the consequences could be disastrous in the long run.

The Fed may be forced to reverse course quickly if inflation rebounds, leading to another financial downturn.

Additionally, if the Fed appears politically influenced, it could damage investor confidence, weaken the U.S. dollar and push money toward alternative assets like Bitcoin and gold.

While the short-term play benefits Trump’s political ambitions, the long-term risk to economic stability is significant.

Many economists argue that manipulating interest rates for political gain could set the stage for another financial crisis.

As the Trump-Fed standoff unfolds, investors should brace for continued volatility. Whether the Fed pivots or holds firm, Trump appears to be winning the narrative war.

If Powell cuts rates, Trump will take credit for the recovery. If Powell refuses, Trump can blame the Biden administration for economic struggles.

For now, uncertainty reigns—and in a market driven by fear, Trump holds the upper hand.

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